We are Safer Without War

The New Hampshire Union Leader has an article out promoting a US declaration of war on ISIS. The writer claims that ISIS is at war with the US and that inaction is deadlier than action.  The war drums are starting to beat, but we should relax and smoke our peace pipes to achieve the best results.

Declaring war on ISIS has some problems. The first is that ISIS does not have a set state. Like all Jihadist terrorist groups, ISIS groups are popping up all over the world. To declare war on ISIS would give the President the power to bomb any country in the Middle East or North Africa.  As we have seen, the President will use any power to use the military as broadly as possible. Obama is still invoking the AUMFs from 2002 and 2003 to fight wars all over the Middle East, including Syria. The writer believes that having a declaration of war would limit presidential powers, but in our history war as only extended the powers of the president.

A second problem is that simply defeating ISIS may not solve any problems. A large part of the ISIS territory is in Iraq. Remember how little the Iraqi army fought to keep ISIS from taking Iraqi cities. So even if we are able to go city by city and eliminate ISIS, what then? It will require unending occupation by US forces to keep another  ISIS-like group form taking back the territory once our troops leave. This is what has happened in Iraq and Afghanistan. When the US troops leave, the terrorist come back and resume their activities. Remember it was soon after Obama was bragging about his defeat of Al Qaeda and started pulling troops out of these counties that ISIS started to gain ground.

A third problem is our allies in the region have no desire to fight ISIS. In Iraq, the Iraqi soldiers, who were American armed and trained, turned and ran when ISIS came. Our ally Turkey is funding ISIS by buying the oil from ISIS. The Kurds are willing to fight ISIS for Kurdish lands, but have not fought ISIS elsewhere. Our other allies in the region (Saudi Arabia, Israel and Jordan) are more concerned about taking out Assad then fighting ISIS. The NATO countries also do not have much desire to fight ISIS, Canada is even ending its support in our Syrian air war. This means if we fight ISIS we do so alone.

The final problem is ISIS is not at war with the US. ISIS split from Al Qaeda over differences in strategy. Both ISIS and Al Qaeda want to form a caliphate in the Middle East. Al Qaeda leaders believe that The West must first be defeated before this happens. ISIS leaders decided to form their caliphate now because the opportunity was there. ISIS’s focus has been to overthrow Assad and expand its borders over attacking The West. While terror attacks have been committed by ISIS members. The Islamic Caliphate, which exists in Syria and Iraq, aims to create a state in the Middle East.

The real danger ISIS presents to the US is having us fall into the same trap that has been set by Al Qaeda. They bait us into endless wars in the Middle East that cost trillions of dollars and thousands of US lives. We have seen the results of US intervention in Iraq, Afghanistan, Yemen and Libya. Are any of these counties better off today because of our interventions? Have these interventions stopped, reduce or defeated the Jihadists? Are US citizens safer now than before the interventions?

We have tried the war path in the Middle East over and over and have only produced the opposite of stated American goals.

Deficit Deceit

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Those on the left have recently been bragging about Obama’s job of cutting the deficit. Cutting the deficit is important because of the growing national debt in the US. The US currently owes 18 trillion dollars. To make our payment on the debt the US pays over 200 billion dollars a year. This is the amount the US pays with the interest rate at 0%. In the future, the US is expected raise the interest rate by at least .25%. As the interest rate increases so does the amount the US must make in each payment on the debt. Each rate increase of .25% will add over an extra 100 billion dollars to our payment on the debt each year. With the historical average interest rate around 5%, if we do not start to reduce the national debt we could be paying a $1,000,000,000,000 just in minimum payments on the debt each year. So what does the deficit look like under our current president.

better deficit graph

 

As you can see above, the numbers starting in 2009, the first year of the Obama presidency, the US was running an annual deficit of over 1.4 trillion dollars.  In 2014, the deficit had decreased to 483.3 billion dollars. It is a little misleading to say that Obama had decreased the deficit by a trillion dollars, since all of the Obama deficits have been more than any of Bush’s. It is true that the official US deficit has decreased by a trillion dollars while Obama has been in office; however, this was not a trillion dollar reduction from the previous president.

debt

We get a different picture when we look at the amount of money added to the budget each year. Looking at 2014 the deficit is 483 billion dollars while we will add over a trillion to the national debt. That leaves over 500 billion dollars that is not counted to the deficit, but still added to the debt. The amount of money that is added to the debt is a more accurate way of calculating a deficit. As the amount of money added to the debt is, how much you had to barrow to cover all the expenditures after revenue has run out.

Government misleads the American people all the time. Claiming that the deficit is 500 billion dollars smaller than it actually is just another misleading claim. President Obama will leave office having doubled the national debt, to 20 trillion dollars. This debt will have to be paid off and the interest we owe for the debt will continue get more and more difficult to pay. Remember the debt is public so we are all are responsible for it.

Marco’s Bad Ad

Marco Rubio’s campaign released their first TV ad.  The ad is thirty seconds of Marco looking into the camera and informing us on the dangerousness of Muslims. Marco gives us his view on the Middle East. He sees it as an US versus THEM struggle. He claims they hate us for our freedom. Marco’s view of the conflict in the Middle East is wrong.

Marco’s first statement is, “This is a civilizational struggle, between the values of freedom and liberty and radical Islamic terror”. Calling it a civilizational struggle seems to be misleading at best. Anyone who hears it’s a civilizational struggle will come to believe either the Americans win or the Muslims win. To avoid sounding racist Marco hedges his statement by saying the conflict is between Liberty and Freedom (The West) and Islamic terror. But Islamic terror is not civilizational. The number of Muslims that are also terrorists is extremely small.

Marco next tells us, “what happened in Paris can happen here.” This is Marco’s warning to the American people. He is telling us if we do not win the civilizational struggle those attacks will happen here, too.

He then continues to tell us, “these aren’t disgruntled or dis-empowered people. These are radical terrorist who want to kill us, because we let women drive because we let little girls go to school”. Marco pushes that there can be no way to stop the terrorists, but to kill all of them and their culture. He ensures us that the reason people are terrorists are not because they are jobless and poor or forced to live in a country where you can be bombed for no reason at any time and when the bomb lands on an innocent person there is no chance for justice. The terrorists are terrorists because they see our women driving and girls going to school and cannot contain their rage. However, terrorist attack other Middle Eastern counties as well, who do not grant women these rights. Also Russia allows girls to go to school and women to drive, yet ISIS did not attack Russia until Russia started bombing ISIS.

Marco’s final point is that we cannot negotiate, it’s us or them. Here Marco takes any diplomacy off the table and says this war will be won with bombs and bullets. However we have been bombing and shooting terrorists since 9/11 and we have more today than ever. Marco is just giving us the same medication and saying this time it will work, even though it made us worse in the past.

Marco is blind to the real problem in the Middle East. We cannot continue to keep trying to spread democracy with our bombs and bullets. We must realize that dropping bombs on terrorists that live in cities will only create more terrorism. We must notice that every time we arm one group to fight another, we end up having to fight the group we armed, too.

Marco’s vision of and plan for shows just how unqualified he is to be president. He is using the same policy as the past two presidents have used and does not even realize it. If we want to stop terrorism we must stop making it out to be civilizational and realize that Islamic terrorism is a response to our policy of indiscriminate bombing throughout the Middle East.

Why to limit Presidential Power

Republican governors have been pledging to block Syrian refugees from coming into their states. The Texas governor even wrote the President a letter saying no refugees will be allowed into his state. President Obama has asserted that he will bring in the refugees anyways and he will.  This is because of a law signed into power by Ronald Reagan. This law makes the governors powerless to stop the federal government from bringing in refugees.

This often seems to be the case for both left and right. When one party is in control of government they will give more power to the executive branch. Then the other party gets into office and use the executives new power. Of course, the party that is now on the outs will say “that’s not what it was meant for” but it does not matter, as the power is now in the hands of the executive branch and everyone is powerless to stop it.

This is why it is so important that we require all presidents to follow the Constitution. No one on the political left currently is concerned with Obama conducting Drone wars and an air war in Syria. The President is doing so without an Authorization for use of Military Force or declaration of war. What if Trump was president and was allowed to act under the precedent that President Obama has set. President Trump could start bombing Iran, Russia or China and no one could stop him.

Let’s also look to the way President Obama implemented the ACA. Several times as the law was being implemented it became clear that adjustments needed to be made or the ACA would fall apart. The President made several changes to the law through executive action. The Democrats cheered this. If Trump gets elected what kind of changes do you think he will make to our broken immigration laws? Obama has set the standard that if a law is broken the president can fix it. No one will be able to stop a President Trump from doing the same.

The USA FREEDOM ACT and NDAA also give the government the power to spy on Americans and hold Americans without trial. This was passed under Bush and continued through the Obama term. While the current abuses of these laws have been small, both presidents have used it to spy on Americans without warrants and imprison innocent Americans. No one was able to stop President Bush or Obama from abusing these laws and no one will be able to stop a President Trump from doing the same. Think about how he could use these laws to go after Muslims. He has already suggested spying on Masques and creating a registry. He could also start to spy on Americans to deport all the immigrants he has pledged to deport.

When we give presidents more power we often only think of the positives the president will do with the new power. Presidents set precedents for their successors. When the successor is not as morally good as his predecessor he can abuse the new powers the president has. This is why all Americans should fight to strip power away from the Executive Branch.

 

Gold does not cause deflation

A cornerstone of the libertarian position is having a gold standard. In the 2012 GOP primary Ron Paul championed this position. In 2016, Cruz, Carson, and Rand Paul have all suggested that US adopt the gold standard. A recent piece in the NY Time tries to show how Cruz is wrong for supporting the gold standard.

The writer of the article points to the deflationary spiral as to why we cannot have a gold standard.  The deflationary spiral says that if an economy enters into a recession then layoffs happen. Layoffs mean more people have less money which reduces demand. Less demand means lower prices. As prices for products fall the companies who produce the products will go out of business, starting the process all over again. This can be seen in the image below. Blog post 2

The theory also argues, to prevent this from occurring the government must be able to stimulate the economy with large infusions of money.  A government cannot do this with a gold standard because the amount of money that the government can put into the economy is limited to the amount of money the government takes in taxes. Without a gold standard the government can print dollar bills to infuse into the economy.

The writer of this article cites the great depression as proof of this occurrence. The problem for the writer of this article, is that this did not cause the great depression and the deflationary cycle does not exist.

The problem with the deflationary cycle is it ignores that falling prices will increase demand. As we see above, the falling demand has a downward effect on prices; however what the illustration leaves out is we also see that falling prices will put upward pressure on demand. While there may be some reduction in demand it is not a free fall. Once prices hit a point where people will buy the product for the price offered, then demand will stabilize.

The writer attempts to solve this problem by pointing out that once prices start to fall no one will buy anything. The writer says, “After all, if you believe that the price of, say, shirts will continue to drop, you’ll delay splurging on haberdashery.” But people splurge on things all the time that will drop in price later. Everyone knows that the new iPhone will cost less in 6 months than it will the day it comes out, yet tens of thousands line up to buy iPhones at the full price every day. Some people even sell the iPhone for thousands more online. That means that someone is paying thousands of dollars more on a product then if they bought it in store, they just have to wait a few days to get it.

Also some products are needs, not wants. If I need some milk I will buy it from the store even if it will be cheaper next week. The writer and those who support this theory overlook that people will buy what they can afford when they want it. No one will go hungry today to save a penny tomorrow.

The writer also says that gold is scarce and that the amount of gold is limited, while the number of people increase. While it is true that there is currently a finite amount of gold on earth, gold has kept up with the population. For the past 50 years, there has been roughly 42 grams of gold per person on Earth .Since 1959 gold production has risen by a factor of 2.1 and the population by 2.2. Increases in technology has allowed for more fine gold to be found. There is nothing to suggest that this will not continue. Scientists are already looking to mining asteroids for gold and other sources have been looked at, as well.

The writer’s last point against the gold standard is that it caused, or at least prolonged the great depression. The writer points out that the anti gold standard FDR took office in March of ’33 and the recovery took off. This is not true. For the rest of the 1930’s Americans suffered through a depression and in 1938 the unemployment rate got worse not better. Are we really to expect that FDR’s policies worked so well we remained in a depression that got worse, not better, for another 13 years?

Also the deflationary spiral cannot explain the  depression that occurs in America from 1920-1921. The depression started with a higher unemployment rate than what the great depression started with in 1929. The government did nothing in that depression and the economy recovered quickly. If the deflationary spiral is real, why did this not occur in this depression as well?

What lifted America out of the great depression after WWII was the fact that the rest of the world was in shambles. All of Europe, Japan, China, North African and parts of Russia were still smoldering from the bombs that leveled cities. America made it through the conflict without a bomb dropped on the homeland. While the rest of the world tried to rebuild, Americans were able to sell their products around the world to countries who no longer had the infrastructure to build their own.

The gold standard was one of the reasons Americans was able to achieve the wealth we have achieved. The gold standard limits government, by preventing the government from just printing new money. If we want to rein in the government, impose a gold standard. It will force to government to limit its budget to what it can take in taxes.

What About Yemen

President Obama has taken the past week to push for Syrian refugees to come to the US. Obama plans to let in a first round of 10,000 refugees. Republicans have opposed this, but Obama has fired back by trying to make a moral appeal to the Americans for taking in refugees. Obama tells us that we need “American leadership” to set an example for the rest of the world. However, our president does not deserve the moral soap box he is preaching from.

Yemen is located on the southeast corner of the Arabian Peninsula, directly south of Saudi Arabia. Yemen is the poorest country in the Middle East.  Yemen does not have oil reserves or any other substantial sources of natural wealth. Yemen has a population of around 26 million.

Yemen has also been host to an American Drone war since 2004. The drone strikes have increased since Obama took office. Almost 2,500 have died in drone strikes under Obama; many of those are civilians. The target for the drone strikes is Al Qaeda, but Al Qaeda is growing stronger and taking more territory.  Recent leaks have also raised questions on the legality of the drone war.

Over a decade of the drone war has also taken a massive psychological toll on the people of Yemen. Research has found that 92% of Yemenis are suffering from PTSD. Children are the most heavily effected demographic. Some of the children are afraid of small electronic devices that sound similar to the drones. Women are even experiencing miscarriages, because of the fear and anxiety caused by drones.

In early 2015, the leader of Yemen fled after fighting rebellions for years. This caused the country to fracture with the Shi’ite Houthis, Sunni loyalist to the old government, and Sunni Al Qaeda all holding some territory in the country.  The Saudis began a war against the Houthis and have been supporting their Sunni enemies. The Saudi war has been brutal on the civilian population of Yemen. The Saudis have bombed weddings and hospitals. There are reports of the Saudis using illegal cluster bombs. The Saudis have also blockaded Yemen, which means that there are many starving in a country that imports 90% of its food.

Without the US, it would not be possible for the Saudis to have this war. The US provided 90 billion in weapons to Saudi Arabia between 2011 and 2015. The US is providing Saudi Arabia with logistical support and intelligence.  The US is also refueling Saudi planes while they conduct bombing runs over Yemen.

The Saudis have kept reporters from entering Yemen. One reporter was able to smuggle himself into Yemen. He reported that Yemen “already looks like Syria after 5 years”.

President Obama will continue to stand on his moral soap box and wag his finger at the republicans, but if he really cared about those in the Middle East, who are poor, starving, and fleeing war, then he would end the drone war and stop US support for the Saudi war against the people of Yemen.

Ted Talks Syria

Ted Cruz appeared on The Glenn Beck Program yesterday to discuss Syria. From  8:00 to 10:00 in the interview Beck and Cruz discuss Cruz’s plan for dealing with ISIS.  Cruz’s plan is first bomb ISIS, then arm the Kurds to defeat ISIS. Beck and Cruz agree to the effectiveness of this plan; however this plan will lead to more terrorism, more instability in the Middle East and more innocent lives lost.

Cruz believes this strategy will work because it worked in the first Iraq war. Cruz points to the long period of heavy bombing then the ground force coming in to “mop up” the army. Cruz believes we can use our Air Force and then the Kurds will “mop up” ISIS. What Cruz does not realize is the US has been deploying this policy in Afghanistan, Iraq war 2, Libya and Syria.

In Afghanistan we bombed Al Qaeda and the Taliban.  We then sent in troops and trained an army for Afghanistan. Now the Taliban are reestablishing themselves as a major force in Afghanistan. ISIS recruits are coming from Afghanistan to Syria. Al Qaeda still exists in Afghanistan. We continue to have to bomb Afghanistan over a decade after starting this war.

In Iraq we overthrew the government with a combination of our Air Force and Army. At one point the US had over 150,000 ground troops in Iraq. The US then trained and armed and Iraqi army.  Today in Iraq ISIS holds a large part of the country spanning the Iraq-Syria border. ISIS has accomplished this by taking the weapons that the US government had given the Iraqi Army. The Kurds also hold area in the North. The United States continue to wage air war in Iraq to stop the Sunni terrorist groups. Iraq has now turned to Iran and Russia for help defeating ISIS.

In Libya the US and our NATO allies used air power to destroy the army of Muammar Gaddafi. We then armed a group of rebels that overthrow the Libyan government. Now the country is in shambles. Rival factions control different areas of the country, ISIS even hold territory in Libya.  A refugee crisis also exists in Libya and those refugees are washing up dead.

Last year in Syria we began to bomb different Sunni terrorist groups and arm others. Our bombings have been focused on ISIS. The bombing have not had much affect as ISIS still hold significant amounts of land. ISIS continues to grow and is being funded by selling oil to our ally Turkey. The Kurds hold area in the North of Syria, but are under fire from Turkey.

This has been the result of Cruz’s plan in the rest of the Middle East and North Africa. It is a disaster that has led to the mess we face today.

Increased bombing in Syria will lead to more of the same. As we have seen in the past US bombs have been the best recruiting tools for terrorist. ISIS holds major cities with innocent men, women and children being held there by ISIS.  It will be impossible to bomb ISIS with out others dying with them.  Bombing innocent people leads to more people becoming radicalized, leading to more terror.

Continuing or increasing America’s air war in Syria we also risk international disaster with Russia. With both countries running an air war in a country the size of Missouri the risk of accidents exists. Also with US special forces on the ground and possible Russian troops we run the risk of bombing each others ground forces.

Arming the Kurds is not as simple as Cruz makes it appear either. In the past, the groups we have armed have then used those weapons against our interests in the region or given the weapons to terrorist groups. Weapons given to Libyan rebels are now in the hands of jihadist in Syria. Also arming the Kurds might not go over so well with our ally Turkey, who has warned the US against doing this. There is also the problem that the Kurds may not want to destroy ISIS. So far the Kurds have fought ISIS over cities with large Kurdish populations, but have made no moves against the ISIS capital.

The reason this strategy worked in Iraq war 1 is we were facing an army. All the operations since have been against terrorism. Terrorism differs from an army because it is an idea. You cannot bomb an idea to get rid of it and you cannot arm the enemies of an idea to get rid of it. ISIS groups exist in countries across the Middle East and Africa. Are we going to bomb all of these counties to eliminate ISIS there as well? People who claim to be members of ISIS live in a number of Western counties. Are we going to drop bombs in Canada and France? We cannot fight terror this way.

What to do about Syria

The Syrian refugee crisis has caused a lot of debate recently. On Capital Hill, the left is for letting them in and those on the right are trying their best to prevent this. Rand Paul recently introduced a bill that will make it much more difficult for refugees to come to the US.

People who want to prevent refugees from entering this country will argue that it is too great of a risk to let the refugees in. They will point to Paris and say that will happen here. They will say that they pay taxes for the US government to protect us and this will decrease how secure we are. They will also argue that our country is already broke and borrowing money. They will point to homeless vets and say “we must care for them first”.

Those on the left will argue that blocking the refugees is Islamicphobic. They will say that we have a duty to let the refugees. They will say that the refugees will die if our government does not let them into our country, and to let them die is unAmerican.

And everyone is right about somethings…

The USA does have a duty to the refugees as we are responsible for causing the crisis. We destabilized the region and armed the terrorists. It is also a bad policy to deny people entry into the country based on their religion. There is also an increased chance of a terrorist using the refugee program to enter the country.  Syria is a country that we have been bombing for a year. It is very possible that an attack could occur as a result of blow back from our bombings. It is also true that there are poor, starving and homeless in the United States today and it is the duty of the country to take care of citizens and tax payers first.

So what could be done…

Rand could introduce a bill that would not allow refugees from countries that we have current military operations in and also remove any cap on the number of refugees. Obama would then have to stop the bombings Syria to let Syrian refugees come into America. Let’s plug the hole before bailing out the water.

Ending the bombings will stop the flood of new refugees. It is our bombs that are creating the conditions for so many of these people to become refugees. We can take 100,000 refugees or 1,000,000, but there are too many people in the Middle East to come to America. In order to help the Syrians, lets stop creating the conditions in which they become refugees.

The bill could also help to shed light on the vast amount of American military operations that are currently ongoing. Most Americans are aware of the military operations in Syria and Iraq, but few remember that the US is still fighting the Taliban in Afghanistan. American is once again bombing Libya, some American missed the 2011 war in that country. This could also help to expose the military operations in Somalia, Yemen, Pakistan, and across Africa.

The problem for the Syrian people  is not that they do not live in the West. Their problem is not that they do not receive welfare from Americans. Their problem is their homes have been destroyed. Their problem is their country is being torn apart by multiple militias. Their problem is America and America’s allies involvement in their country.

Negative Rights and Positive Rights

Rand Paul recently stated,

“Government was instituted among men to protect your rights, not to create rights. So you don’t have a right to a chair, you don’t have a right to shoes, you don’t have a right to pants, you don’t have a right to health care, you don’t have a right to water — you have a right to be free.”

You can watch the video here.  In response to the video, this article ran on Politicususa.com.  The article attacks Rand’s philosophy on rights. The writer has some misunderstanding about Rand’s position that I will clarify.

The writer spent the bulk of the article attacking Rand’s view on rights. The writer starts out by agreeing with Rand that we do have a right to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness. Then the writer goes on to say that the Declaration of Independence does not limit us to these three rights, so there are more and the three listed are just examples. The writer does not offer any evidence for this claim and just makes the one assertion. This assertion is simply untrue. The ideas of life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness as being rights is based off of John Locke’s philosophy that was limited to just those three rights.

For the next few paragraphs the writer goes on aimlessly about rights. So I will try to provide some clarification on rights. Rand Paul subscribes to the natural right theory. This means that humans have certain rights that they receive for being human or from their creator.  Paul believes that no one can ever morally take any of these rights away from someone.

The other theory is legal positivism. This theory states that rights come from government and are given to the people. In this theory, the government is granted the power  to take and give rights as they believe is moral.

Natural rights are also negative rights. Negative rights say that you have the right to be able to do something. Positive rights differ, as positive rights give you the right to something. We will use pants as an example.

If I have a negative right to pants, then no one can prevent me from owning pants. If I do not have a negative right to pants, then I am unable to own pants. If I have a positive right to pants, then someone must provide pants to me when I do not have my own. This also implies the moral authority to take pants away from others if you do not have enough of your own.

What the writer failed to understand is that Rand was saying you do not have the moral authority to take pants, chairs, shoes, healthcare or water for others if you do not have enough. However you do have the moral authority to own as many of these things as you would like.

The writer seems unable to comprehend how one can have the right to own something, but not the right to take it. The writer claims without a (positive) right to water, then people will die. The writer assumes that in order for people to have water they must have the right to take it from others. Rand’s position is that you have the right to own water, but you cannot take it from someone else. Water, like pants, can only be acquired through voluntary interactions.

Next the writer moves to critiquing Rand on his criticisms of Bernie Sanders for being a socialist. The writer uses a joke to show their belief that Rand is absurd for making these arguments. Bernie Sanders’ political identity is a democratic socialist. Pol Pot, Mao and Stalin were all the dictatorial leaders of socialist societies, or communists.  Rand’s argument against Bernie is that he is a socialist like the others only differing in who should rule, the majority or a single leader. Rand’s claim is that it does not matter who the leader is, all socialism leads to the atrocities of the communist regimes.

The writer next says that Rand does not believe in laws. This likely comes from the confusion about rights that I addressed earlier. Rand’s position on laws and the role of government is that they are meant to protect people’s negative rights from other people. Rand is in favor of police stopping theft, but not in favor of jailing people for smoking pot.

The writer then quotes Hobbs to prove the need for government. The writer claims that Hobbs is correct in his position because he thought of it a century before the founding fathers. Completely ignoring  many of the other philosophies about the purpose and role of government. Locke for example, disagreed with Hobbs on the role of government and wrote at roughly the same time.

Where rights come from and what form they take is very important. In either view rights determine the role and scope of government. A government that gives rights to people can always take those rights away. Millions have been slaughtered by their own governments that asserted they had the right to do so. Governments that are restricted by right given to people from their nature do not have this same brutal record.  To ensure peace and liberty for all, government must be restricted in what it can do.

 

 

Jihadists are Environmental Terrorists

Bernie Sanders stood by his statement from Saturdays DNC debate that global warming is caused by terrorism. You can watch him in this video.  Bernie’s argument is that global warming fuels terrorism and even uses it to explain the Paris terrorism attack.  Most might simply dismiss this as Bernie saying something crazy, but this argument is catching on. Even  Hillary and O’Malley have agreed that terrorism is in some part caused by global warming.

The first problem with this argument is that Bernie is applying possible future events to a current crisis. He says that global warming is “going to” cause droughts. Not that this has already happened and that people have already been relocated, but this might happen. He then takes that idea and attributes it to why the attacks in Paris happened.  For Bernie’s argument to explain what happened in Paris it would mean that drought would have to have already been so significant in Syria to cause people to relocate to cities and become radicalized. Even Bernie does not claim this occurred.

Now let’s look at how Bernie claims people become radicalized. Bernie argues that after farms close down and people will move to cities and not have jobs. Bernie’s argument is dehumanizing to Muslims, as it claims Muslims become jihadists due to boredom and unemployment. This argument also overlooks the fact that most of the wealth in the counties that jihadists come from are oil rich countries.  Moving away from oil will cause more unemployment and loss of wealth in these countries than global warming.

Bernie also claims that drought will lead to border conflicts and land battles in the future. However border conflicts and land battles are already occurring. Just look at Syria where Al Qaeda controls some area, the government controls some, ISIS has most of the east of the country and the Kurds have a growing land mass in the North. None of this was caused by global warming. It was caused by our bombs destabilizing the region and leading to mass migration.

This argument by Bernie shows how he is no better than any other candidate. He is just another hack pandering for votes. He knows full well that he cannot blame today’s terrorism on tomorrow’s global warming. He makes this argument because he wants to score points on the left and because he is too afraid to speak truth to power.

If Bernie were a honest man, than he would point to the US bombs that fall, not on terrorist, but on women and children. It’s well known that the US intervention in the Middle East is the best recruitment tool the terrorists use. Bombing of wedding and the strafing of doctors and patients as the flee from a hospital will radicalize far more people than a dry spring ever will.

It’s time to take a honest look at what has occurred in the Middle East since we started out interventions there. No one can honestly argue we are safer today than we were back then. We have made a mess of things and every “fix” we have tried only made matters worse.